Sunday 31 July 2011

31/07 - Trades

Hoping for a positive end to the month!

Zenit St Petersburg v Spartak Nalchik - 13:30
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

Helsingborgs v IFK Goteborg - 15:30
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

Helsingborgs v IFK Goteborg - 15:30

Note! This trade is dependent on the 1.5 goals trade being matched first.

- Lay Away side once 1.5 goals trade has been matched.
- If home side score 1st green up
- If away side score 1st take 50% loss
- If 0-0 on 65 minutes exit trade

Odd Grenland v Brann - 17:00
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

Stromsgodset v Lillestrom - 17:00
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

Hacken v Syrianska FC - 18:00
- Lay the draw at half-time if 0-0 or 1-1
- Green up after next goal
- Exit at 50% loss (so if took odds of 3.0 exit at 1.5)

Koda

5 comments:

  1. Hacken v Syrianska FC - 18:00

    Hey Koda, was away all day but only traded the above game. I played in the onder / over 1.5 @ 3.0. When first goal was scored ROI would only have been about 15%. As a result I decided to let it run until the price went back doe to 3.0 for a free bet. Have you done this before or would you take the 15% ?

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  2. By the way, should have said thanks, great trades and interesting methods.

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  3. Hi AG,

    It is something we've looked at yes, but due to sample sizes still being fairly small we're sticking to our original plan; getting out after the first goal. I've analised first goal times, second goal times, favourites against underdogs and vice versa, but the plan we're following seems to be the best at the moment. We've also considered letting the trade run after the first goal until 50% loss hoping to catch a second goal, but we found it just wasn't as profitable as what we're doing now. As sample sizes grow maybe patterns will become visible that will lead us onto doing the 1.5 goals trade a little different.

    It's still early days but the service is definitely going in the right direction. I'll hopefully have the review up by tomoz, Tuesday latest.

    Cheers,

    Koda

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  4. Me again, just wondering if you consider goals conceded as more of an indicator than goals scored when selecting suitable games ?

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  5. We look at everything there is to look at, if there's value in the odds we're on, if not we leave it out. So, as part of the strategy we look at goals conceded and scored.

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