Thursday 30 June 2011

30/06 - Trades

Here’s today’s trade. Please note there is a slightly different exit strategy now.

Brann v Odd Grenland – 18:00
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 for small loss

Koda

Monday 27 June 2011

Green Up Calculator

Here's a free green up calculator that I'd like to share with anyone who's trading!

I like to use the calculator for two purposes:
1. To determine at what odds I'll need to green up to make X% profit
2. If the trade is in-play and the game isn't going the way I'd hoped then what would my profit/loss be at the present time.

We can never predict how a game will turn out. Greening up will mean we make an equal profit, or loss, whatever the outcome instead of taking a big win or big loss. I'm also developing a calculator which will mean we can take the potential loss away from the event in-play. If the stronger selection wins we take better profits, if it loses then we make £0.

Here's the link to the calculator:

https://docs.google.com/leaf?id=0BwXsHOipLtGWYTBjYjI4MGUtYTJlYi00NTZjLWIyNWEtZDRiMzRiNWE0NjI3&hl=en_US

Koda

27/06 - Trades

Just the one trade for today.

Norrkoping v Kalmar FF - 18:00
- Lay Norrkoping @ 3.55
- Back Norrkoping @ 7.0, or trade out on 70 minutes if draw
- Exit trade if Norrkoping back odds drop to 1.5

Let's hope we get back on track today!

Koda

Sunday 26 June 2011

26/06 - Trades

Here’s today’s trades.

Please note that for some trades there won’t be any more Correct Score saver bets.

Odd Grenland v Molde - 17:00
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up on 1.5 goals Lay after 1st goal

Stromsgodset v Haugesund - 17:00
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up on 1.5 goals Lay after 1st goal

Koda

Saturday 25 June 2011

25/06 - Trades

Here’s today’s Account trade.

Aalesunds v Lillestrom – 17:00
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Place saver Back bet on 0-0 Correct Score to 50% liability on mentioned trade, place same time as mentioned trade
- Green up on 1.5 goals Lay after 1st goal
- If 0-0 after 70 minutes green up on Correct Score but let 1.5 goals Lay run until there is a goal

Koda

Friday 24 June 2011

Portfolio Update

It's been a while since I had 5 minutes to sit down and a write proper blog post. I've just got so much on that I rarely update results daily now, but rather every couple of days just to save myself some time.

I've been putting up the trades every day, and they're coming along nicely, we're certainly well on our way to making 60 PTS profit in our first year. The Scandinavian leagues aren't easy to trade, the odds simply don't move as they should and I wonder (seriously) if there are powers at large keeping the odds movements down on purpose. When the Big leagues come back this won't happen as much, there will be too many people backing, laying and trading to hold down prices for too long.

So, onto normal back betting...

Although I've been doing a lot of trading and research my normal betting is still going strong. You can't afford to take your eye off things for a millisecond and I have made some subtle changes where necessary. A couple of services have been removed from the portfolio whilst there have been some additions. The removal was a football service that I wasn't confident in. The additions were a couple of horse racing services and one football service.

There are now 14 full-time and 1 part-time services in the portfolio and that suits me just fine. I have had to go into pseudo accounts over the last month as some of the bigger bookmakers turn away my bets. Although I felt a little insecure when my biggest account was shut down I'm now relieved that I had the pseudo accounts ready to use. 5 Ps - Perfect Planning Prevents Pathetic Performance!


Tipster: Todays P/L: Stakes: ROI: POINTS Total:
4PA 0.00 0.00   110.30
BLB 0.00 0.00   -11.16
CL 0.00 0.00   45.02
EI 14.10 2.80 504% 99.03
FBI        
FE 0.00 0.00   24.27
FI 0.00 0.00   32.44
NMP -0.25 1.50 -17% 13.55
PJAF 2.60 4.50 58% 48.71
PJAW 0.00 0.00   -1.50
SK 0.00 0.00   64.81
SR -0.39 2.00 -20% 9.70
STR 0.00 0.00   119.66
SYS 16.50 17.00 97% -83.85
TME 4.00 5.00 80% 17.00
AB 0.00 0.00   3.75
MB 0.00 0.00   -2.21
TRAS 0.00 0.00   -1.11
         
Today: 36.56 32.80 117.04%  
Active Tipsters Total:       488.41
All Tipsters Total:        
Financial Totals: This month: £2,940.11    
         


I don't really want to go into stating this and that about the performances of different services. There have been plenty of ups and downs but since my last post there have certainly been more ups. 4 Pronged Attack had a good Ascot and PJAF has continued its winning ways since I joined about 3 months ago now. EI was one of my biggest worries when I resubscribed in April but my loyalty is certainly paying dividends right now. I jumped onto TME at just the right time and we saw another winner at 7/1 today, the service operates to longish odds so there will definitely be long losing runs.

I could go on but it's 23:20 and I'm up early to trade some of the Japanese J1 games.

Koda

24/06 - Trades


Quality is a bit sparse at the moment, just the one trade today.

Account trade:
St Patricks v Bray - 19:45
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Place saver Back bet on 0-0 Correct Score to 50% liability on mentioned trade, place same time as mentioned trade
- Green up on 1.5 goals Lay after 1st goal
- If 0-0 after 70 minutes green up on Correct Score but let 1.5 goals Lay run until there is a goal

Koda

Wednesday 22 June 2011

23/06 - Trades

Just the one trade for tomorrow 23/06.

Kalmar FF v GAIS - 18:00
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Place saver Back bet on 0-0 Correct Score to 50% liability on mentioned trade, place same time as mentioned trade
- Green up on 1.5 goals Lay after 1st goal
- If 0-0 after 70 minutes green up on Correct Score but let 1.5 goals Lay run until there is a goal

Cheers,

Koda

22/06 - Trades


Here’s today’s Account trades.

Spartak Moscow v Dinamo Moscow - 15:45
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if
0-0
- Place saver Back bet on 0-0 Correct Score to 50% liability on mentioned trade, place same time as mentioned trade
- Green up on 1.5 goals Lay after 1st goal
- If 0-0 after 70 minutes green up on Correct Score but let 1.5 goals Lay run until there is a goal

CSKA Moscow v Lokomotiv - 17:00
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if
0-0
- Place saver Back bet on 0-0 Correct Score to 50% liability on mentioned trade, place same time as mentioned trade
- Green up on 1.5 goals Lay after 1st goal
- If 0-0 after 70 minutes green up on Correct Score but let 1.5 goals Lay run until there is a goal

Koda

Tuesday 21 June 2011

20/06 - Results


Nothing of interest today. Plenty of games on tomorrow including some early Japanese games which may have some strong enough stats to get involved. If we do get involved update will either be tonight or around 8:30 tomorrow.

Here are yesterday's results:

Account trades:

FC Inter v JJK 16:30
- Pathetic odds movement meant a minimal profit after the 1st goal went in. +0.19
- Correct Score was a loser. -0.11

Landskrona v Atvidabergs 18:00
- No trade due to early goal.

Djurgardens v Syrianska FC - 18:00
- Although there was an early goal the 2nd didn't come until the 65th minute. +1

Profit/Loss for 20/06:
Account trades:
+1.02 PT
Shortlist trades:
N/A

Running Profit/Loss:
Account trades:
+3.82 PT
Shortlist trades:
-6.84 PT

Koda