Tuesday 30 November 2010

December will be better

A lot of information to get through today, here are today's results:


Tipster: P/L Today: Stakes: ROI: Profit - Deductions:
4PA 0.00 0.00 N/A 87.82
CL 0.00 0.00 N/A 27.44
EI 0.00 0.00 N/A -39.00
FE 0.00 0.00 N/A 12.13
FI 0.00 2.00 N/A 0.90
MGB 0.00 2.00 N/A 8.14
PB -1.50 2.00 -75% 11.88
SK 0.00 0.00 N/A 4.43
CNB 0.00 0.00 N/A -3.46
FES 0.00 0.00 N/A 2.64
EWV 0.00 0.00 N/A -53.67
BLB 0.00 0.00 N/A -0.03
TRA -2.27 8.45 N/A -28.19
AB 0.00 0.00 N/A N/A
MB 0.00 0.00 N/A N/A
SPDT 0.00 0.00 N/A -0.23
SKS 0.00 0.00 N/A -1.41
SF 0.00 0.00 N/A 0.99
LB 0.00 0.00 N/A 1.81
HF 0.00 0.00 N/A -24.95
GVE 0.00 0.00 N/A -1.41
FB 0.00 0.00 N/A -12.87
PCB 0.00 0.00 N/A 22.00
SR 0.00 0.00 N/A 2.16
Total -3.77 14.45 -75.00% 17.11

Hesitation cost me the points on the Trading tonight, I was just about to place a trade and Carlton Cole scored costing me 2 PTS, but I should have been in quicker. Pro Bandit with one non-runner and the dutching on the 15:30 Southwell didn't work.

Here's November's table for the active services:


Tipster: P/L Today: Stakes: ROI: Profit - Deductions:
4PA 21.83 20.50 106% 87.82
CL 4.13 16.00 26% 27.44
EI 0.00 0.00 N/A -39.00
FE -2.76 12.00 -23% 12.13
FI -18.44 96.00 -19% 0.90
MGB -5.20 63.00 -8% 8.14
PB 0.52 25.50 2% 11.88
SK -12.15 67.00 -18% 4.43
CNB 3.83 6.00 64% -3.46
FES -1.39 3.00 -46% 2.64
EWV -18.12 26.50 -68% -53.67
BLB -4.27 66.36 -6% -0.03
TRA -24.28 156.61 N/A -28.19
AB -5.00 6.50 -77% N/A
MB -12.35 17.00 -73% N/A
SPDT 0.00 0.00 N/A -0.23
SKS -2.00 3.00 -67% -1.41
SF 2.39 7.50 32% 0.99
LB 1.71 6.00 29% 1.81
HF -20.00 35.50 -56% -24.95
GVE 0.00 7.00 N/A -1.41
FB -10.72 82.40 -13% -12.87
PCB 22.00 8.00 275% 22.00
SR 2.16 6.00 36% 2.16
Total -78.13 737.36 4.71% 17.11

The month couldn't of been more disappointing. Herbie Fogg has been very poor as has been Each Way Value and Football Investor. I will be cutting out my own bets and doing my best not to place any more accidental bets as together they've cost me 17 PTS

In hindsight I should have never joined horse racing services in November as racing can become inconsistent around this time of year. I never imagined losing 78 PTS from the services in the table but that's how it goes. In total I actually lost 99.2 PTS for all services which includes those that were taken off the table at some point, as per the graph below:
















The golden coloured line represents this month and the blue the same month from last year. It does tell us that November isn't a great month but I never envisaged losing 100 PTS in one month. Obviously I need to take action: do nothing or something. I don't think I'll stop following any services just yet, some of them are due a good December now and I've been there before where there's been a bad month then a good one.

My focus for the forthcoming month is to primarily work on cleaning up the Trading as a couple of small mistakes here and there can be costly, it was literally 5 seconds that cost me those 2 PTS today... My aim for December is 15 PTS profit from the Trading, that might seem high but I'm sure I can reach that with ease if I cut out the small mistakes. In fact, I will cut them out, it's my early new year resolution!!

4 Pronged Attack has been marvellous this month as has PCB. I will be increasing my staking for both services at some point, probably after a small losing run. And it was good to see Conference North Bets and Champions League Bets coming in with some small profits. For the cost of subscription Champions League Bets is one of the best value for money services out there in my opinion.

We have Equine Investments starting back up tomorrow, I hope their poor run doesn't continue from September... and December is another month! Let's hope the run of bad luck stops today!!

Until December 1st!

Monday 29 November 2010

Internet problems

I was meant to be posting the weekend's results yesterday but there were some Internet problems so you'll find the results for the last 3 days in the table below:


Tipster: P/L Today: Stakes: ROI: Profit - Deductions:
4PA 6.50 3.50 186% 87.82
CL 0.00 0.00 N/A 27.44
EI 0.00 0.00 N/A -39.00
FE -1.00 2.00 -50% 12.13
FI -6.47 12.00 -54% -0.83
MGB 0.42 8.00 5% 8.14
PB -0.90 2.00 -45% 13.38
SK 7.69 13.00 59% 4.43
CNB 0.00 0.00 N/A -3.46
FES 0.00 0.00 N/A 2.64
EWV 0.00 0.00 N/A -53.67
BLB 0.00 0.00 N/A -0.03
TRA 4.06 28.36 N/A -25.92
AB 0.00 0.00 N/A N/A
MB 0.00 0.00 N/A N/A
SPDT 0.00 0.00 N/A -0.23
SKS -0.50 1.00 -50% -1.41
SF 0.00 0.00 N/A 0.99
LB 0.91 1.00 91% 1.81
HF -2.50 5.50 -45% -24.95
GVE 0.00 0.00 N/A -1.41
FB -1.55 5.60 -28% -12.87
PCB 3.00 3.00 100% 22.00
SR 0.00 0.00 N/A 2.16
Total 9.66 84.96 15.36% 19.15

I would have taken a 4 PTS profit for the Trading before the weekend started, I'm more than happy to make steady and consistent winnings. I made a small loss of 0.7 PT for the night but it was looking like a 4 PTS loss early on into the Barcelona and Leicester games. By having a mindset of capital preservation instead of being greedy and attempting to get blood out of stone a big loss has turned into a small one. Just remember that there is a fine line between chasing losses and turning something around: chasing losses means you can get deeper and deeper and if the results go against you you stand to lose a lot of money; turning something around is effectively where whatever the outcome you stand to lose less, usually a lot less, than was initially going to happen.

I had a minor correction for Saturday; I'd put the Nancy game for Football Investor as a Sunday and not a Saturday. Skeeve had a nice weekend but Football Investor continues its poor run of form. There has been an email from Football Investor showing how November can be one of the poorer months so that could potentially mean a better December. I use the word "potentially" with caution!

And we had another 3 PTS with PCB with the selection finishing in the top 5. I was rather fortunate here as William Hill were only paying out each way on the first 4, how ridiculous is that? I got on with another bookie that was paying each way for the first 5 places, but I hadn't checked. This is one of those moments you need to hold onto when things aren't going your way.

Last day of the month tomorrow so should be a few extra bits and pieces!

Until then