Saturday, 3 September 2011

Moving site

Hi everyone,

I've had this blog for exactly a year, and the time has flown by. It really does seem like it was yesterday when I was getting ready to put up the first post, and now, I'm putting up the last. The blog will continue to function on its own, with Twitter updates on the left side, but there won't be any further posts. My new site is:

www.kodagira.com

I would like to say thanks to everyone who has been following and commenting and that I hope to see all your comments over at the new blog; www.kodagira.com/blog

Take care and good  luck!

Koda

Monday, 29 August 2011

29/08 - Results

Here are today's results.

MyPa v Jaro - 16:30
- A 42nd minute away goal meant we could green-up. +0.68

Haka v HJK Helsinki - 16:30
- An 18th minute goal meant no trade.

Haka v HJK Helsinki - 16:30
- No half-time draw.

Rosenborg v Odd Grenland - 18:00
- Another early goal meant no trade.

Rosenborg v Odd Grenland - 18:00
- 4-0 at half-time.

Profit/Loss for 29/08:
+0.65 PT
Running Profit/Loss:
+13.27 PTS

Well, now it's the opposite of what we were getting at the weekend; early goals. So, in theory that should mean that for our next games the goals should come bang smack in the middle, not too early, not too late. Unfortunately the laws of randomality don't allow perfect predictions, but it's been a good day!

The next 10 days are going to be very quiet.

Koda

Blog update

I would just like to let you know that my site is up and running and from the 1st of September I shall be discontinuing my blog here. The blog will be continuing but on the site. The blog address is:

www.kodagira.com/blog

On the 1st of September I shall leave a message here with full details.

Cheers,

Koda

29/08 - Trades

Here are today's trades.

MyPa v Jaro - 16:30
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

Haka v HJK Helsinki - 16:30
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

Haka v HJK Helsinki - 16:30
- Lay the draw at half-time if 0-0 or 1-1
- Green up after next goal
- Exit at 50% loss (so if took odds of 3.0 exit at 1.5)

Rosenborg v Odd Grenland - 18:00
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

Rosenborg v Odd Grenland - 18:00
- Lay the draw at half-time if 0-0 or 1-1
- Green up after next goal
- Exit at 50% loss (so if took odds of 3.0 exit at 1.5)

Let's hope the teams have had a long weekend, are full of energy and ready to get a few goals for us!

Koda

Sunday, 28 August 2011

28/08 - Results

Here are today's results.

Gefle v Hacken - 13:00
- From what we can tell nobody had enough time to green-up on this one. +1.5

Gefle v Hacken - 13:00
- As we had no time to trade out we had to wait until Hacken went 2-1 up. +0.67

Helsingborgs v Orebro - 13:00
- Another 0-0 on 65 minutes. -1.71

Helsingborgs v Orebro - 13:00
- But our lay on the draw at half-time came off. +1.14

Spartak Moscow v CSKA Moscow - 16:00
- So close, a 45+3 minutes injury time goal voided the trade.

Viking v Stabaek - 17:00
- Yet another 0-0 on 65 minutes, unbelievable. -1.68

Viking v Stabaek - 17:00
- Viking left it late, but we got our winner. +0.78

Aalesunds v Molde - 19:00
- A 1st minute goal voided the trade.

Aalesunds v Molde - 19:00
- Half-time lay on the draw also voided.

Profit/Loss for 28/08:
+0.52 PT
Running Profit/Loss:
+12.62 PTS

We were certainly cursed this weekend by the 0-0s. There is no good reason why it's happened apart from the fact that these results do happen from time to time. Happening all at the same time is rare, but possible. Still, today was profitable and tomorrow's another day.

Koda

28/08 - Trades

Here are today’s trades.

Gefle v Hacken - 13:00
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

Gefle v Hacken - 13:00

Note! This trade is dependent on the 1.5 goals trade being matched first.

- Lay Home side once 1.5 goals trade has been matched.
- If away side score 1st green up
- If home side score 1st take 50% loss
- If 0-0 on 65 minutes exit trade

Helsingborgs v Orebro - 13:00
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

Helsingborgs v Orebro - 13:00
- Lay the draw at half-time if 0-0 or 1-1
- Green up after next goal
- Exit at 50% loss (so if took odds of 3.0 exit at 1.5)

Spartak Moscow v CSKA Moscow - 16:00
- Lay the draw at half-time if 0-0 or 1-1
- Green up after next goal
- Exit at 50% loss (so if took odds of 3.0 exit at 1.5)

Viking v Stabaek - 17:00
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

Viking v Stabaek - 17:00
- Lay the draw at half-time if 0-0 or 1-1
- Green up after next goal
- Exit at 50% loss (so if took odds of 3.0 exit at 1.5)

Aalesunds v Molde - 19:00
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

Aalesunds v Molde - 19:00
- Lay the draw at half-time if 0-0 or 1-1
- Green up after next goal
- Exit at 50% loss (so if took odds of 3.0 exit at 1.5)

Koda

Saturday, 27 August 2011

27/08 - Results

Here are today's results.

JJK v FC Inter - 14:00
- The first goal came just a few minutes before the stop loss hit. -0.52

JJK v FC Inter - 14:00
- 0-0 at half-time activating the trade. The first goal went to the underdog so we didn't get the odds movement we would have liked. +0.38

Kalmar FF v IFK Goteborg - 15:00
- The stats and head to head said there would be plenty of goals, finished 0-0. - 1.99

Kalmar FF v IFK Goteborg - 15:00
- 0-0 at half-time, but that's how the game finished. -1.5

Valerenga v Haugesund - 17:00
- An early goal ensured we got our winner. +0.45

Hiroshima v Niigata - 11:00
- A very poor game, with just the one goal coming very late on. -1.76

Hiroshima v Niigata - 11:00
- The late goal saved us on this one. +1.1

Shimizu v Yokohama FM - 11:00
- How this finished 0-0 we'll never know, chance after chance. -1.5

Sendai v Yamagata - 11:00
- 2-1 at half-time.

Profit/Loss for 27/08:
-5.42 PT
Running Profit/Loss:
+12.1 PTS

That's another record broken, but for the wrong reasons obviously. Have looked over the stats for every single team and come to the same conclusion twice: today was a freak event. We look at the ins and outs of every team we trade: head to head, last x games, last x games against same opposition type and some other stats. If there is anything out of place it's simply not traded. But, the football gods were not so kind today and tomorrow is another day. We take it on the chin and move on, as always.

Back tomorrow morning with the day's trades.

Koda

27/08 - Trades - 2nd Update

Here is the second and last of the updates.

JJK v FC Inter - 14:00
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

JJK v FC Inter - 14:00
- Lay the draw at half-time if 0-0 or 1-1
- Green up after next goal
- Exit at 50% loss (so if took odds of 3.0 exit at 1.5)

Kalmar FF v IFK Goteborg - 15:00
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

Kalmar FF v IFK Goteborg - 15:00
- Lay the draw at half-time if 0-0 or 1-1
- Green up after next goal
- Exit at 50% loss (so if took odds of 3.0 exit at 1.5)

Valerenga v Haugesund - 17:00
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

Koda

Friday, 26 August 2011

27/08 - Trades - 1st Update


Here is the first of two updates, the second will be sent tomorrow morning.

Hiroshima v Niigata - 11:00
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

Hiroshima v Niigata - 11:00
- Lay the draw at half-time if 0-0 or 1-1
- Green up after next goal
- Exit at 50% loss (so if took odds of 3.0 exit at 1.5)

Shimizu v Yokohama FM - 11:00
- Lay the draw at half-time if 0-0 or 1-1
- Green up after next goal
- Exit at 50% loss (so if took odds of 3.0 exit at 1.5)

Sendai v Yamagata - 11:00
- Lay the draw at half-time if 0-0 or 1-1
- Green up after next goal
- Exit at 50% loss (so if took odds of 3.0 exit at 1.5)

Back tomorrow,

Koda

26/08 - Results

Here are today's results.

TPS v KuPS - 16:30
- An early goal allowed us to green-up. +0.52

TPS v KuPS - 16:30
- No draw at half-time.

Brann v Tromso - 18:00
- A goal in the 24th minute. +0.79

Brann v Tromso - 18:00
- Tromso scored in the 45th minute, activating the trade. But amazingly there were no more goals. -1.50

Profit/Loss for 26/08:
-0.26 PT
Running Profit/Loss:
+17.52 PTS

Sod's law tonight, a 45th minute equaliser then no more goals.

May be back this evening with an update for any early games tomorrow.

Koda

26/08 - Trades


Yesterday's selection was voided.

Here are today's trades.

TPS v KuPS - 16:30
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if
0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

TPS v KuPS - 16:30
- Lay the draw at half-time if 0-0 or 1-1
- Green up after next goal
- Exit at 50% loss (so if took odds of 3.0 exit at 1.5)

Brann v Tromso - 18:00
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if
0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

Brann v Tromso - 18:00
- Lay the draw at half-time if 0-0 or 1-1
- Green up after next goal
- Exit at 50% loss (so if took odds of 3.0 exit at 1.5)

Koda

Thursday, 25 August 2011

25/08 - Trades

Hi guys,

Here are today’s trades.

Norrkoping v Djurgardens - 18:00
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

Norrkoping v Djurgardens - 18:00
- Lay the draw at half-time if 0-0 or 1-1
- Green up after next goal
- Exit at 50% loss (so if took odds of 3.0 exit at 1.5)

Regards,

Koda

Tuesday, 23 August 2011

22/08 - Results

The results have come in and...

Jaro v Honka - 16:30
- Early goal meant no trade.

Jaro v Honka - 16:30

Note! This trade is dependent on the 1.5 goals trade being matched first.

- First trade was voided so this trade wasn't activated.

PoPA v HIFK - 16:30
- A goal to the home side in the second half allowed us to exit the trade, for a small loss. -0.16

PoPA v HIFK - 16:30

Note! This trade is dependent on the 1.5 goals trade being matched first.

- How unlucky was this one, but rules are rules so when the home side scored first we took our loss on the chin. -1.81

Orebro v Mjallby - 18:00
- A goal before half-time ensured we got our winner. +0.68

Orebro v Mjallby - 18:00
- 1-0 at half-time.

Profit/Loss for 22/08:
-1.32 PT
Running Profit/Loss:
+17.78 PTS

After every milestone we seem to get a loser, I suppose that's lady luck making sure we keep our feet on the ground and I have no quelms with that.

There are no trades for today. I shall be sending out an email shortly to those who have registered their interest for the free in-play service.

Koda

Monday, 22 August 2011

22/08 - Trades

Here are today’s trades.

Jaro v Honka - 16:30
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

Jaro v Honka - 16:30

Note! This trade is dependent on the 1.5 goals trade being matched first.

- Lay Home side once 1.5 goals trade has been matched.
- If away side score 1st green up
- If home side score 1st take 50% loss
- If 0-0 on 65 minutes exit trade

PoPA v HIFK - 16:30
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

PoPA v HIFK - 16:30

Note! This trade is dependent on the 1.5 goals trade being matched first.

- Lay Home side once 1.5 goals trade has been matched.
- If away side score 1st green up
- If home side score 1st take 50% loss
- If 0-0 on 65 minutes exit trade

Orebro v Mjallby - 18:00
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

Orebro v Mjallby - 18:00
- Lay the draw at half-time if 0-0 or 1-1
- Green up after next goal
- Exit at 50% loss (so if took odds of 3.0 exit at 1.5)

Koda

Sunday, 21 August 2011

21/08 - Results

Here are today's results.

Hacken v Djurgardens - 13:00
- We were 2 minutes away from getting on this one.

Hacken v Djurgardens - 13:00
- 1-0 at half-time.

AIK v Trelleborgs - 15:30
- A goal in the 29th minute allowed us to green-up. +0.47

AIK v Trelleborgs - 15:30
- 1-0 at half-time.

Haugesund v Rosenborg - 17:00
- Early goal so no trade.

Haugesund v Rosenborg - 17:00
- 2-0 to Rosenborg at half-time.

Kuban Krasnodar v Volga Nyzhnyi Novgorod - 17:00
- 2-0 to the home side at half-time.

Tromso v Fredrikstad - 17:00
- Another early goal meaning no trade.

Tromso v Fredrikstad - 17:00
- 1-0 at half-time.

Profit/Loss for 21/08:
+0.45 PT
Running Profit/Loss:
+19.1 PTS

A lot of work for such a small return today, but that's the way the cookie crumbles. On another day we could have had a couple of losers or all winners, we're at the mercy of the teams on show. I'll take a day of voids instead of a day of losers.

Very likely to be some trades for tomorrow.

Koda

21/08 - Trades

Here are today’s trades.

Hacken v Djurgardens - 13:00
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

Hacken v Djurgardens - 13:00
- Lay the draw at half-time if 0-0 or 1-1
- Green up after next goal
- Exit at 50% loss (so if took odds of 3.0 exit at 1.5)

AIK v Trelleborgs - 15:30
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

AIK v Trelleborgs - 15:30
- Lay the draw at half-time if 0-0 or 1-1
- Green up after next goal
- Exit at 50% loss (so if took odds of 3.0 exit at 1.5)

Haugesund v Rosenborg - 17:00
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

Haugesund v Rosenborg - 17:00
- Lay the draw at half-time if 0-0 or 1-1
- Green up after next goal
- Exit at 50% loss (so if took odds of 3.0 exit at 1.5)

Kuban Krasnodar v Volga Nyzhnyi Novgorod - 17:00
- Lay the draw at half-time if 0-0 or 1-1
- Green up after next goal
- Exit at 50% loss (so if took odds of 3.0 exit at 1.5)

Tromso v Fredrikstad - 17:00
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

Tromso v Fredrikstad - 17:00
- Lay the draw at half-time if 0-0 or 1-1
- Green up after next goal
- Exit at 50% loss (so if took odds of 3.0 exit at 1.5)

Koda

Saturday, 20 August 2011

20/08 - Results

Here are today's results.

Amkar v Rubin Kazan - 13:00
- 1-0 at half-time so no trade.

Sarpsborg v Valerenga - 17:00
- 1st goal came early in the 2nd half. +0.2

Sarpsborg v Valerenga - 17:00
- We greened up as soon as the goal went in. +0.64

UCD v Sligo Rovers - 19:45
- Goal in the 37th minute ensured we got another winner. 0.4

UCD v Sligo Rovers - 19:45
- 1-0 at half-time.

Profit/Loss for 20/08:
+1.18 PT
Running Profit/Loss:
+18.65

For those compounding returns you should now have passed 20 PTS profit, another milestone reached, will be commemorating with a kebab I think.

Koda

Friday, 19 August 2011

20/08 - Trades

Here are tomorrow’s trades.

Amkar v Rubin Kazan - 13:00
- Lay the draw at half-time if 0-0 or 1-1
- Green up after next goal
- Exit at 50% loss (so if took odds of 3.0 exit at 1.5)

Sarpsborg v Valerenga - 17:00
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

Sarpsborg v Valerenga - 17:00
- Lay the draw at half-time if 0-0 or 1-1
- Green up after next goal
- Exit at 50% loss (so if took odds of 3.0 exit at 1.5)

UCD v Sligo Rovers - 19:45
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

UCD v Sligo Rovers - 19:45
- Lay the draw at half-time if 0-0 or 1-1
- Green up after next goal
- Exit at 50% loss (so if took odds of 3.0 exit at 1.5)

Koda

19/08 - Results

Here are today's results.

KuPS v Haka - 16:30
- We were fortunate with this one with the goal coming in the 64th minute, just one minute before we took the loss. -0.36

KuPS v Haka - 16:30
- 0-0 at half-time activating the trade. Goal to the underdog on 64 minutes meant the draw odds didn't move much. +0.29

Odd Grenland v Viking - 18:00
- An early goal allowed us to green-up. +0.88

Odd Grenland v Viking - 18:00
- No draw at half-time.

Profit/Loss for 19/08:
+0.75 PT
Running Profit/Loss:
+17.47

May be putting tomorrow's trades up tonight.

Koda

19/08 - Trades

Here are today’s trades.

KuPS v Haka - 16:30
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

KuPS v Haka - 16:30
- Lay the draw at half-time if 0-0 or 1-1
- Green up after next goal
- Exit at 50% loss (so if took odds of 3.0 exit at 1.5)

Odd Grenland v Viking - 18:00
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

Odd Grenland v Viking - 18:00
- Lay the draw at half-time if 0-0 or 1-1
- Green up after next goal
- Exit at 50% loss (so if took odds of 3.0 exit at 1.5)

Koda

Wednesday, 17 August 2011

Twitter - in-play trades

I have started putting into practice the necessary infrastructure for our in-play trading service that will start at the beginning of September. For those that have given me their Twitter accounts already I have added those IDs to my in-play Twitter account; Kodagira_In-play. If anyone else would like to receive the Tweets for the service then please send an email to kodagira@gmail.com where I'll add your Twitter ID and then all you'll need to do is add me as well.

Once my trading partner has created his in-play Twitter ID I will notify all by email.

The likely scenario for such a service is that at the beginning of the week we will send out an in-play schedule. Then, on the day that trading is likely to happen we will send out a message in the morning advising whether there are likely to be in-play trades or not. This way we can all be organised, I certainly wouldn't want anyone hanging around for trades that won't be coming.

Will be doing some in-play trades over the next couple of weeks, as testers, won't be anything official.

Back soon,

Koda

Website update

I mentioned a while ago that I'd be looking to have a website developed. The good news is that according to the web developer it is only two weeks away from being finished. It won't be anything fancy but will be just how I want it. There will be areas for betting, trading, articles, contact, etc, but I'll put up a last post on here once the transition to the new site is ready.

A quiet day on the trading front, but I'll be in-play today starting at 11:00.

Koda

Monday, 15 August 2011

15/08 - Results

Here are today's results.
Honka v VPS - 16:30
- A good start to the day with a 24th minute goal. +0.99

Honka v VPS - 16:30
- No half-time draw.

FC Inter v IFK Mariehamn - 16:30
- A goal in the 41st minute ensured we got our winner. +0.54

FC Inter v IFK Mariehamn - 16:30
- No half-time draw.

Norrkoping v AIK - 18:00
- An early goal allowed us to green-up. Poor odds movement after the goal. +0.48

Norrkoping v AIK - 18:00
- We laid the home side and AIK scored first. +0.78

Profit/Loss for 15/08:
+2.65 PT
Running Profit/Loss:
+16.72

Glad to get back to winning ways.

Koda

15/08 - Trades

Here are today’s trades.

Honka v VPS - 16:30
- Lay the draw at half-time if 0-0 or 1-1
- Green up after next goal
- Exit at 50% loss (so if took odds of 3.0 exit at 1.5)

Honka v VPS - 16:30
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

FC Inter v IFK Mariehamn - 16:30
- Lay the draw at half-time if 0-0 or 1-1
- Green up after next goal
- Exit at 50% loss (so if took odds of 3.0 exit at 1.5)

FC Inter v IFK Mariehamn - 16:30
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

Norrkoping v AIK - 18:00
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

Norrkoping v AIK - 18:00

Note! This trade is dependent on the 1.5 goals trade being matched first.

- Lay Home side once 1.5 goals trade has been matched.
- If away side score 1st green up
- If home side score 1st take 50% loss
- If 0-0 on 65 minutes exit trade

Koda

Sunday, 14 August 2011

14/08 - Results

Here are today's results.

Zenit St Petersburg v Amkar - 14:45
- An away goal on 23 minutes ensured we got our winner. +0.79

Zenit St Petersburg v Amkar - 14:45
- No half-time draw.

GAIS v Kalmar FF - 15:30
- An early goal meant no trades.

Trelleborgs v Helsingborgs - 15:30
- Another early goal meant no trades.

Spartak Moscow v Anzhi Makhachkala - 16:15
- I admit I was sweating on this one; the reason being is that odds were very low early on. But, whoever decided that the odds should be low was wrong, to our benefit. +0.6

Spartak Moscow v Anzhi Makhachkala - 16:15
- No half-time draw.

Profit/Loss for 14/08:
+1.31 PT
Running Profit/Loss:
+14.16

All in all a good weekend. Very likely to be trades tomorrow.

Koda

14/08 - Trades

Here are today’s trades.

Zenit St Petersburg v Amkar - 14:45
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

Zenit St Petersburg v Amkar - 14:45
- Lay the draw at half-time if 0-0 or 1-1
- Green up after next goal
- Exit at 50% loss (so if took odds of 3.0 exit at 1.5)

GAIS v Kalmar FF - 15:30
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

GAIS v Kalmar FF - 15:30

Note! This trade is dependent on the 1.5 goals trade being matched first.

- Lay Away side once 1.5 goals trade has been matched.
- If home side score 1st green up
- If away side score 1st take 50% loss
- If 0-0 on 65 minutes exit trade

Trelleborgs v Helsingborgs - 15:30
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

Trelleborgs v Helsingborgs - 15:30

Note! This trade is dependent on the 1.5 goals trade being matched first.

- Lay Home side once 1.5 goals trade has been matched.
- If away side score 1st green up
- If home side score 1st take 50% loss
- If 0-0 on 65 minutes exit trade

Spartak Moscow v Anzhi Makhachkala - 16:15
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

Spartak Moscow v Anzhi Makhachkala - 16:15
- Lay the draw at half-time if 0-0 or 1-1
- Green up after next goal
- Exit at 50% loss (so if took odds of 3.0 exit at 1.5)

Koda

Saturday, 13 August 2011

13/08 - Results

Here are today's results.

C-Osaka v G-Osaka - 11:00
- A good winner to start the day off. +0.63

Austria Vienna v KSV Superfund - 17:30
- A goal in the 35th minute allowed us to green-up. +0.33

FC Copenhagen v FC Midtjylland - 18:00
- We came out of the trade and the game finished 2-0, very frustrating. -1.78

Profit/Loss for 13/08:
-0.86 PT
Running Profit/Loss:
+12.85 PTS

We've had the trades, but not the goals when we needed them, terribly frustrating.

Koda

13/08 - Trades 2nd update

Here are the rest of the trades for today.

Austria Vienna v KSV Superfund - 17:30
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

FC Copenhagen v FC Midtjylland - 18:00
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

Koda

13/08 - Trades 1st update

This is the first update for the 11am J1 league game, there will be another update to follow.

C-Osaka v G-Osaka - 11:00
- Lay the draw at half-time if 0-0 or 1-1
- Green up after next goal
- Exit at 50% loss (so if took odds of 3.0 exit at 1.5)

Back soon,

Koda

Friday, 12 August 2011

12/08 - Results

Here's today's results.

HJK Helsinki v Honka - 16:30
- 1-0 at half-time.

VPS v JJK - 16:30
- 0-1 at half-time.

TPS v RoPS - 16:30
- 0-0 at half-time activating the trade. Underdog scored first so no real odds movement when greening-up. -0.04

TPS v RoPS - 16:30
- Abismal odds after the underdog had scored. How the market expects only a 21% (odds of 4.6) chance of there not being another goal after 50 minutes is beyond me. At such odds we could lay under 1.5 goals again, but I'll leave that discussion for another day. +0.08

Odd Grenland v Valerenga - 18:00
- How unlucky, a goal in the 19th minute voiding the trade.

Odd Grenland v Valerenga - 18:00
- As the above trade was voided so was this one, it would have won.

Profit/Loss for 12/08:
+0.04 PT
Running Profit/Loss:
+13.71 PTS

There may be an early update tomorrow due to some Russian games. May also get involved in a J1 (Japanese) game if value and liquidity at optimum levels.

Koda

12/08 - Trades

Here’s today’s trades.

HJK Helsinki v Honka - 16:30
- Lay the draw at half-time if 0-0 or 1-1
- Green up after next goal
- Exit at 50% loss (so if took odds of 3.0 exit at 1.5)

VPS v JJK - 16:30
- Lay the draw at half-time if 0-0 or 1-1
- Green up after next goal
- Exit at 50% loss (so if took odds of 3.0 exit at 1.5)

TPS v RoPS - 16:30
- Lay the draw at half-time if 0-0 or 1-1
- Green up after next goal
- Exit at 50% loss (so if took odds of 3.0 exit at 1.5)

TPS v RoPS - 16:30
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

Odd Grenland v Valerenga - 18:00
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

Odd Grenland v Valerenga - 18:00

Note! This trade is dependent on the 1.5 goals trade being matched first.

- Lay Home side once 1.5 goals trade has been matched.
- If home side score 1st green up
- If away side score 1st take 50% loss
- If 0-0 on 65 minutes exit trade

Koda

Monday, 8 August 2011

08/08 - Results

Here's today's results.

Start v Haugesund - 18:00
- Somehow it was 4-0 at half-time.

Sundsvall v Landskrona - 18:00
- A goal just before the break spoiled this one.

Sundsvall v Landskrona - 18:00
- We got our goal, eventually, but odds didn't really move that much. +0.33

Profit/Loss for 08/08:
+0.32 PT
Running Profit/Loss:
+13.67 PTS

There are no trades tomorrow.

Koda

Sunday, 7 August 2011

08/08 - Trades


Here’s tomorrow’s trades.

Start v Haugesund - 18:00
- Lay the draw at half-time if 0-0 or 1-1
- Green up after next goal
- Exit at 50% loss (so if took odds of 3.0 exit at 1.5)

Sundsvall v Landskrona - 18:00
- Lay the draw at half-time if 0-0 or 1-1
- Green up after next goal
- Exit at 50% loss (so if took odds of 3.0 exit at 1.5)

Sundsvall v Landskrona - 18:00
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

Koda

07/08 - Results

Here's today's results.

St Patricks v UCD - 15:00
- Early goal meant no trade.

St Patricks v UCD - 15:00
- Teams were not drawing at half-time, no trade.

Orebro v Hacken - 15:30
- Goal came in the 34th minute allowing us to green up. +0.56

Orebro v Hacken - 15:30
- 1-0 at half-time so no trade.

Aalesunds v Odd Grenland - 17:00
- We took a small loss here as the goal came in the second half. -0.15

Aalesunds v Odd Grenland - 17:00
- If the home team had scored first we'd have been looking at a good profit. As it was the away team that scored first profit was small. +0.09

Lillestrom v Sarpsborg - 17:00
- We managed to make a small profit on this one even though the first goal came in the second half. +0.1

Lillestrom v Sarpsborg - 17:00
- The goal did go to the home side in this game and our odds jumped out allowing us to green up. +0.67

Valerenga v Sogndal - 17:00
- 1-0 at half-time so no trade.

Viking v Tromso - 17:00
- 2-0 at half-time so no trade.

Profit/Loss for 07/08:
+1.2 PT
Running Profit/Loss:
+13.35 PTS

We're looking to get the Twitter in-play trades up and running by the 1st of September for those interested.

Will be back later with tomorrow's trades.

Koda

07/08 - Trades

Not ideal getting a loser just as we increase staking, but losing is part of winning and we take losers on the chin and move on.

Here’s today’s trades.

St Patricks v UCD - 15:00
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

St Patricks v UCD - 15:00
- Lay the draw at half-time if 0-0 or 1-1
- Green up after next goal
- Exit at 50% loss (so if took odds of 3.0 exit at 1.5)

Orebro v Hacken - 15:30
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

Orebro v Hacken - 15:30
- Lay the draw at half-time if 0-0 or 1-1
- Green up after next goal
- Exit at 50% loss (so if took odds of 3.0 exit at 1.5)

Aalesunds v Odd Grenland - 17:00
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

Aalesunds v Odd Grenland - 17:00
- Lay the draw at half-time if 0-0 or 1-1
- Green up after next goal
- Exit at 50% loss (so if took odds of 3.0 exit at 1.5)

Lillestrom v Sarpsborg - 17:00
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

Lillestrom v Sarpsborg - 17:00
- Lay the draw at half-time if 0-0 or 1-1
- Green up after next goal
- Exit at 50% loss (so if took odds of 3.0 exit at 1.5)

Valerenga v Sogndal - 17:00
- Lay the draw at half-time if 0-0 or 1-1
- Green up after next goal
- Exit at 50% loss (so if took odds of 3.0 exit at 1.5)

Viking v Tromso - 17:00
- Lay the draw at half-time if 0-0 or 1-1
- Green up after next goal
- Exit at 50% loss (so if took odds of 3.0 exit at 1.5)

I'll be on Twitter most of the day.

Koda

06/08 - Results

Here's yesterday's results.

FC Inter v Jaro -16:30
- FC Inter got the 2 goals we needed, but unfortunately they were after we'd taken our loss on the trade. -1.94

Trelleborgs v Gefle - 17:00
- The home side scored early in the second half resulting in a small winner. +0.15

Profit/Loss for 03/08:
-1.8 PT
Running Profit/Loss:
+12.15 PTS

Back soon with today's trades.

Koda

Saturday, 6 August 2011

06/08 - Trades

Yesterday's trade was voided due to early goal.

Unfortunately games from mature leagues are replaced by Betfair as it looks to satisfy the mug punters market.

FC Inter v Jaro -16:30
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

Trelleborgs v Gefle - 17:00
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

Koda

Friday, 5 August 2011

05/08 - Trades


Quiet day on the trading front, just the one today. Just remember 3% liability now.

Fredrikstad v Stabaek - 18:00
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

Koda

Thursday, 4 August 2011

Very important update

No trades today
There are no trades today, Betfair have not put up any of the league games from Sweden or Norway instead putting up Europa League games.

Chance of reduced number of trades this month
Over the coming month or so this will happen more and more, where the summer league games are replaced on Betfair by games from superior leagues. That presents a minor problem for us: as we won't be getting involved in leagues until at least 10 games into the season there may be a reduction in the number of trades as a result. If Betfair continue to put up the games from the summer leagues we'll be ok, if they don't then expect a lower number of trades. Once September starts expect quite a few trades... :D

In-play trading - Twitter
On another note we've decided to supply additional trades in-play via Twitter. We are kind of doing that already but over the coming month we'll be creating separate Twitter accounts so that only those people who enter in contact with us registering their interest will be part of the list. It'll be free! We won't be on every single day, but we'll be letting you know when we'll be on, perhaps sending through a schedule at the beginning of the week. If you're interested let us know.

Staking change - now 3% (or 3 POINTS)
This is the biggest change we are implementing from today, that is instead of risking 2.5% (or 2.5 PTS) liability per trade we're now increasing that slightly to 3% (or 3 PTS). We have looked at the results, strike rate and average odds and feel the best way to get more out of the service 3% would be better. Rest assured it is very unlikely we will ever go above 3% liability.

Any questions please do ask.

Koda & Casper

Wednesday, 3 August 2011

July Review

Alas, the review has arrived.

Here are July's stats:
- Winners - 25
- Losers - 5
- Void - 25
- Total trades - 55
- Average trades per day - 1.8
Profit/loss to fixed 2.5 PTS liability - +8.8
Profit/loss to 2.5% of trading bank (with compound staking) - +9.1

Since inception (up to 03/08)
- Winners - 59
- Losers - 12
- Void - 43
- Total trades - 114
- Average trades per day - 1.8
Profit/loss to fixed 2.5 PTS liability - +13.95
Profit/loss to 2.5% of trading bank (with compound staking) - +14.67

Removing the saver trades on the 1.5 goals trade turned out to be a good decision. They were eating into the profits of winning trades and wouldn't have been needed once during July. Losses incurred didn't come from any specific leagues or trades, which is always a good sign. Having looked at the stats regarding the losing games I think it was just a case of "that result had to happen at some point".

As for the winning trades profits have come from most areas. Laying the Home or Away team has produced a tiny loss, but there were only 5 trades so we certainly won't be drawing any conclusions yet. Trading the 1.5 goals and HT draw has done really well. It may seem that our variety of trades is still limited, but summer leagues are tremendously difficult to profit from. Each league has its own characteristics and that will mean each league being treated with its own trade types.

We've been doing really well, but it's still a case of keeping our feet firmly on the ground and picking off the badly priced markets as and when. We certainly won't be forcing anything; there's only a trade when there's plenty of value. With the Big Leagues starting it really is a case of walking on thin ice so don't expect much movement until we're into September.

I'll leave it at that, here's the link to the latest spreadsheet.

https://docs.google.com/leaf?id=0BwXsHOipLtGWYjJhYmM5ZDQtNTEzNC00YmFkLWI3MDQtODY2ZTM4NDA3YTU2&hl=en_US

If you have any feedback please do get in contact.

Koda & Jasper

03/08 - Trades

After doing a monthly review we have decided to increase staking from 2.5% to 3% starting from tomorrow. The reason being is that our strike rate is high allowing our staking to be a tad more aggressive. Monthly review will be put up tonight.

Here are today’s trades.

Rubin Kazan v Dinamo Kiev - 17:00
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

Lillestrom v Tromso - 17:00
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

Lillestrom v Tromso - 17:00
- Lay the draw at half-time if 0-0 or 1-1
- Green up after next goal
- Exit at 50% loss (so if took odds of 3.0 exit at 1.5)

Brann v Viking - 18:00
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

Brann v Viking - 18:00
- Lay the draw at half-time if 0-0 or 1-1
- Green up after next goal
- Exit at 50% loss (so if took odds of 3.0 exit at 1.5)

Koda

Monday, 1 August 2011

01/08 - Trades

Here’s today’s trades.

FC Inter v RoPS - 16:30
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 or on 65 minutes, whichever happens last.

FC Inter v RoPS - 16:30
- Lay the draw at half-time if 0-0 or 1-1
- Green up after next goal
- Exit at 50% loss (so if took odds of 3.0 exit at 1.5)

Koda