Thursday 30 June 2011

30/06 - Trades

Here’s today’s trade. Please note there is a slightly different exit strategy now.

Brann v Odd Grenland – 18:00
- Lay Under 1.5 goals @ 3.0 or after 20 minutes, whichever comes first, if 0-0
- Green up after 1st goal
- Exit if back odds drop to 1.5 for small loss

Koda

7 comments:

  1. at what point {time in the game} would you expect the back odds to hit 1.5 ??

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  2. It can depend on the game. For example, a strong favourite against a weak team will keep the 1.5 goals odds up higher than normal. Two low scoring teams the odds will drop to around 1.5 after 60 minutes.

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  3. A nice winner Koda, where the odds there? Somehow the markets always expect goals from Norway and usually the odds slowly drop but with the first goal in the 30th minute I expect you was matched?

    Raymond

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  4. On 20 minutes odds were 3.5 on the lay, then jumped to 6.8 after the goal. So a nice little profit there. Have you ever watched the odds after a goal on the 1.5 goals market? Looks like people are looking to protect their positions. We're hoping that the big leagues will be much better.

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  5. How do you mean Koda?? People covering positions in other markets on the 1.5 goal market? Some people do that with correct score trading.

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  6. koda , i was trading this game on your advice but i know from past experience , in the bigger leagues the odds would have shot out past 10.0

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  7. Raymond - smaller numbers of traders playing to big stakes = market control, odds manipulation and low liquidity. They're dangerous markets to play in but with stats on our side we can still manage some profits.

    Anonymous - totally right, but to be fair not even Serie A can be classed as a Big League when it comes to trading. The Big Trading Leagues are England, Spain and to a certain extent Germany.

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